Hong Kong’s weak housing market to only get a reprieve in 2023
Hong Kong’s housing market sentiment weakened during H1 2022, reflecting a resurgence of Covid infections in Q1 and a weak domestic economic outlook. House prices in the secondary market fell 2.8% in Q2 versus Q4 2021. And this housing market weakness may not be over yet.
What you will learn:
- As an international trade and financial centre in Asia, changes in Hong Kong’s external environment have an
outsized impact on its domestic economy, and hence on its housing market. - We expect residential property prices to fall by about 4% y/y in Q4 2022, mainly due to the gloomy economic outlook. Slow border reopening progress and challenges to the external environment have severely dampened local sentiment.
- Higher mortgage rates will also play a role in deterring lower income households from buying property and weigh on residential property investment demand.
Tags:
Related posts
Post
Asia Pacific: Summertime blues foreshadow the slowdown
Four themes have dictated Asia's macroeconomic outlook over the summer and are likely to continue to exert an influence over the rest of the year and into 2025, in our view.
Find Out MorePost
Strong growth across the South India, but divergence risks ahead
Over the next five years, India is forecast to be the fastest growing major economy across Asia-Pacific. We expect India’s real GDP to grow on average 6.7% per year between 2024 and 2028. In general, we expect the Southern states to lead GDP growth rankings, while the Central, Eastern, and Northeastern states are anticipated to lag.
Find Out MorePost
Japan’s BoJ is now likely to front-load policy normalisation
We now expect the Bank of Japan will implement an additional rate hike this year, possibly in October, given the hawkish forward guidance at the July meeting. We previously projected the central bank would wait until next spring to hike again. Thereafter, we expect the BoJ to become more cautious and raise rates only once per year in 2025 and 2026 to reach a terminal rate of 1%.
Find Out More