Research Briefing
We have revised our CPI forecast upwards for this year and next, due to more persistent supply side-driven food inflation,...
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Research Briefing
We have revised our CPI forecast upwards for this year and next, due to more persistent supply side-driven food inflation,...
Research Briefing
Related Services TradePrism TradePrism delivers advanced insights into global trade dynamics, helping policy leaders, supply chain strategists, and risk managers...
Research Briefing
Eurozone growth in 2025 will rely on consumers. There were positive signs in H2 last year, with consumers starting to...
Research Briefing
The slew of tariff proposals coming out of the US has added much uncertainty to the highly export-reliant Singapore economy....
Research Briefing
Tariff threats and heightened trade policy uncertainty began causing stress in supply chains.
Research Briefing
Despite weaker-than-expected gains in headline consumer and producer prices in February, the source data that feed into the PCE deflator...
Research Briefing
House prices across Europe have soared over the past decade, especially in cities. During this time, incomes in Europe have...
Research Briefing
Cuts to the Federal government workforce, which we estimate to be 200,000 in 2025, will have a modest impact nationally,...
Research Briefing
We've lowered our GDP growth forecast for the US, Canada and Mexico, reflecting our assumption of more aggressive US tariff...
Research Briefing
Tariffs typically result in a one-off rise in the level of prices.
Research Briefing
Trade tensions between the EU and the US are escalating. Aggressive protectionist policies have been a key instrument for Trump...
Research Briefing
Tariffs don't have to be imposed to wreak economic harm – threats are enough. So the recent flurry of announcements...
New geopolitical realities have forced the likely next German coalition of the CDU and SPD into agreeing to a massive...
Research Briefing
A North American trade war unfolded in dramatic fashion this week.
Research Briefing
As consumer sentiment deteriorated, concerns about the outlook for consumer spending increased. While there's a statistically significant relationship between sentiment...
Inbound tourism to APAC is poised for continued strong growth, with international travel volumes projected to surpass 2019 levels in...
Research Briefing
The resilience of consumption is essential to support sustained wage-driven inflation and the Bank of Japan's rate hikes. We see...
Research Briefing
On March 4, President Trump placed 25% blanket tariffs on Canada and Mexico, except Canadian energy products that would be...
Research Briefing
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia would provide a modest boost to EU economies, mainly due to higher military spending...
Research Briefing
The nominal goods trade deficit was at its widest in January, signaling businesses had front-loaded goods shipments ahead of new...