Research Briefing
Current polling suggests Canadians are poised to vote in a Conservative majority government that would usher in a sea change...
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Research Briefing
A Kamala Harris presidency wouldn't materially alter the economic outlook for Canada. Another term for Donald Trump would usher in...
Research Briefing
Though Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of winning the election have improved since her debate with former President Donald Trump,...
Research Briefing
We created a real-time tracker of unauthorized migrants to the US, the driving force behind the nation's post-pandemic immigration surge....
Research Briefing
The UK grew at an above-trend pace in H1 2024, but we don't expect this to be sustained over the...
Research Briefing
Economic policy uncertainty is rising earlier than normal for a presidential election year, and this has implications for the Q4...
Research Briefing
As the US election approaches, the potential economic outcomes are on everyone’s mind. Regardless of the result, the economy is...
Research Briefing
Vice President Kamala Harris has released the first part of her economic plan. In it, she proposes an expansion of...
Research Briefing
Using our Global Industry Model, we have modelled the sectoral impacts of two scenarios in which former President Donald Trump returns to the...
Research Briefing
Kenya has been facing a tumultuous month from an economic and political perspective, but our baseline scenario assumes that the...
The outcome of the presidential and congressional elections this November will be pivotal for the outlook in 2025 and beyond....
Research Briefing
The second round of the French snap elections resulted in a hung parliament, as we expected. Even though the Nouveau...
Research Briefing
Related Content UK Elections | Beyond the Headlines In this week’s Beyond the Headlines, join Andrew Goodwin, Chief UK Economist,...
Research Briefing
A second Trump presidency could have a moderate impact on European growth based on our simulation of his proposed policies....
The near-term outlook for US industry is expected to be relatively steady. However, the results of the upcoming election could...
African political economy is consistently evolving both at a national and continental level. Robust data analysis needs to be supplemented...
Research Briefing
We expect a continuity of AMLO's policies, but Sheinbaum's ability to pass constitutional reforms with a supermajority in Congress and...
Blog|30 May 2024 South Africa: Elections 2024 | Counting underway after calm voting day Louw Nel Senior Political Analyst The...
Research Briefing
Related Services Australia Macro Service Discover Australia’s economic outlook with our expert forecasts and analysis. Stay informed on key trends...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing summarises our four scenarios for the general election that will take place in South Africa on May...
