Consulting Report
Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the German construction industry developed positively in 2020 and 2021 supporting the overall economy during the...
Consulting Report
Despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the German construction industry developed positively in 2020 and 2021 supporting the overall economy during the...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...
Research Briefing
Much of the economic weakness we are currently witnessing will likely spill over into 2023. African economies' ability to deal...
Research Briefing
Bank Indonesia raised its policy rate by 50 bps at its last meeting on November 17, making for a total...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook has deteriorated, with downside risks threatening global real estate.
Research Briefing
The energy crisis will shape the macroeconomic outlook again in 2023, keeping the eurozone economy in recession at the start...
Research Briefing
After nine months of devastating war, we expect Ukraine's economic contraction to reach 31% in 2022. Prompt monetary and fiscal policy responses and $23bn of external financing have prevented a much deeper contraction.
Research Briefing
Rising interest rates mean the BoE is now making a loss on the gilts it purchased under quantitative easing. With the Treasury committed to making the BoE's...
Research Briefing
The Hungarian economy is being hit by a perfect storm of shocks, particularly surging inflation and a weakening currency. Our...
Research Briefing
Fiscal policy has begun to play a more active part in business cycle management. But while its role in pushing...
Research Briefing
South Africa's detailed JET IP unveiled at COP27 offers a model for other carbon-intensive developing countries to follow. Although the...
Research Briefing
To no one's surprise, the FOMC raised interest rates by 75bps for a fourth consecutive meeting, lifting the target range...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
The government's levelling up ambition has probably been made more, not less, difficult by the new "Plan for Growth". Policies...
Research Briefing
We expect Indonesia's budget balance to show a large deficit in H2 of this year as the cost of fuel...
Research Briefing
We do not expect a long-lasting rebound in sterling (or gilts) anytime soon, given the lack of a credible fiscal...
Research Briefing
The negative market reaction to last week's fiscal announcements appears to be a function of doubts over the credibility of...
Research Briefing
Argentina's best shot at keeping its IMF deal afloat, regaining market access, and repaying bondholders is by boosting its forex...
Research Briefing
Although the risk of hard energy rationing has diminished, demand destruction triggered by the surge in energy prices has led...
Research Briefing
A consumer recession is almost inevitable in Chile and Colombia due to overheating domestic demand combined with the need to...