Research Briefing
After several days of huge UK financial market volatility, the BoE intervened at the long end of the gilt market...
Financial markets
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Research Briefing
The energy crisis took a dramatic turn this week after reports of several leaks in the gas pipelines Nordstream 1...
Research Briefing
While US policy rates will rise further in the near-term, the long-run neutral rate – the interest rate consistent with...
Consulting Report
This study examines whether silver should be viewed as a distinct asset class that warrants a strategic investment allocation within...
Research Briefing
We forecast copper prices to fall over the next six months as global economic growth deteriorates and surging energy prices...
Research Briefing
We do not expect a long-lasting rebound in sterling (or gilts) anytime soon, given the lack of a credible fiscal...
Research Briefing
The negative market reaction to last week's fiscal announcements appears to be a function of doubts over the credibility of...
Research Briefing
Our baseline economic outlook now assumes a mild US recession in the first half of 2023. Despite moderate improvement in...
Research Briefing
We continue to believe the global economy will narrowly avoid a recession, despite expecting the US, Canada, and most of...
Research Briefing
Businesses continue to downgrade their expectations for the global economy, based on our latest survey of risk perceptions. On average,...
Research Briefing
Odds of a downturn in Canada have just crossed a tipping point and we now expect a moderate recession starting...
The new Asia Real Estate Economics Service helps companies understand the implications of macroeconomic, geopolitical, financial and climate change on...
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Research Briefing
Argentina's best shot at keeping its IMF deal afloat, regaining market access, and repaying bondholders is by boosting its forex...
Research Briefing
South Africa faces a serious risk of being 'grey listed' by the international Financial Action Task Force (FATF), which will...
Research Briefing
The BoJ's quarterly Outlook Report revised up the median CPI forecast to 2.3% from 1.9% for FY2022, but estimates for FY2023 at 1.4% and FY2024 at 1.3% remain short of the BoJ's 2% target.
Research Briefing
Recession risks are mounting globally, including in the eurozone. Growing recession fears have resulted in large drops in oil prices...
Oxford Economics launches our Global Risk Service, a suite of data-driven and forward-looking tools that measure macro-economic and financial crises...
Research Briefing
We are concerned about the prospect of distressed sovereigns dragging down their domestic banking systems. We identify an extraordinarily high...
Research Briefing
Central banks have changed the way they react to economic conditions, largely focussing on current inflation and its impact on...
