Research Briefing
In response to the US-Iran war, we've downgraded our forecast for GCC real GDP growth by 1.8ppts to 2.6% for...
Research Briefing
In response to the US-Iran war, we've downgraded our forecast for GCC real GDP growth by 1.8ppts to 2.6% for...
Research Briefing
The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit...
Research Briefing
In our upcoming February forecast update, we'll stick to our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% at its January meeting. Although our current baseline expects...
Research Briefing
Ugandans head to the polls on Thursday, January 15, for presidential and legislative elections.
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 0.25ppts to 0.75% at its meeting on Friday, which the dovish...
The Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government has updated the English indices of deprivation, providing a granular view of...
Housing affordability has emerged as a central challenge across Europe, particularly in major cities and tourist hotspots
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.5% at its October meeting, after a 7-2 majority vote....
Cameroon’s President Paul Biya is expected to secure another term in the upcoming presidential election.
We've brought forward the timing of the next Bank of Japan (BoJ) 25bps rate hike to December from next year...
Research Briefing
The next Czech government will inherit a relatively fast-growing consumer-driven economy, but also a host of difficult medium-term challenges.
The winner of the Czech parliamentary election in October is all but certain to be the populist ANO, which has...
Research Briefing
France's fragile coalition government looks set to lose a confidence vote scheduled on September 8. Consequently, Prime Minister François Bayrou's...
Research Briefing
Important elections are on the horizon across Latin America, with the most consequential being in Bolivia and Argentina.
Research Briefing
Africa has, once again, taken centre stage as countries vie for the top spot. The playing field has shifted slightly,...
Research Briefing
We estimate that the US's effective tariff rate on Japanese products is around 17%, in line with our baseline assumption....
Research Briefing
The ruling Liberal Democratic party (LDP) and its partner Komeito lost their majority in Japan's upper house elections on July...
Research Briefing
South Africa's Government of National Unity (GNU) has struggled over the one year of its existence, largely because of the...
Research Briefing
We have cut our long-term trade forecasts for the EU considerably due to escalating global trade tensions.