Research Briefing
We project Japan's CPI inflation will slow in H2 as import costs trend downward. The current record price passthrough is unsustainable given sluggish demand and firms' weak pricing power.
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 184 results
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left monetary policy unchanged at its first meeting under Governor Kazuo Ueda. Lower global yields...
Research Briefing
We have revised up our long-term wage and inflation projections based on a larger impact from structural labour shortages due...
The late December announcement of China’s intention to re-open its borders for travel took the international community by surprise, with...
Research Briefing
At Governor Kuroda's final policy meeting, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) left short-term policy rates at -0.1% and long-term rates at around 0%. Despite mounting...
Research Briefing
In sizing the macro impact of recent US semiconductor export controls on China, we estimate a near-term drag of around...
Research Briefing
Japan's structural labour shortage has deepened. While it may not result in a wage-inflation spiral now, labour scarcity will put...
Aside from Malaysia's BNM meeting and a host of CPI data this week, the closely-watched "Two Sessions" political event will be held in China, trade data from China...
Research Briefing
We think the BoJ’s next governor, expected to be respected scholar Kazuo Ueda, will shift cautiously to a more orthodox policy framework...
Research Briefing
Tokyo is easily the largest Asia Pacific city by GDP, but the big four Chinese cities are catching up. We...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan enhanced its funds-supplying operations in January, after widening the tolerance band for 10-year JGB yields in...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan maintained its monetary policy settings at today’s (18th Jan) meeting. At the same time, the BoJ...
Research Briefing
Inflation in Asia over the past year has by and large been a story of external supply shocks, rather than...
Research Briefing
In December, the Bank of Japan surprised markets by widening the allowance corridor for the 10-year JGB yield target, aiming to fortify its Yield Curve Control policy. The shift effectively results in a tightening of monetary policy, although we think the impact on growth will be limited.
Research Briefing
Bengaluru's and Hyderabad’s economies will most likely continue to outperform their Asia Pacific and Indian peers in terms of growth...
Research Briefing
We doubt the surprise move from the Bank of Japan to expand the tolerance range for 10-year JGB yields to...
Research Briefing
While few observers expect to see any growth surprise in Japan, some have started to wonder whether global inflation may...
Research Briefing
Economists Arup Raha and Theng Theng Tan identify 5 themes that are likely to be important for Asia in 2023.
Research Briefing
Many cities in the world's advanced economies will enter recession in 2023, with soaring inflation and tightening monetary and fiscal...
Research Briefing
We earlier argued that Asia’s manufacturing activity has been impacted more by demand than by supply-side pressures, due to strict Covid-related policies. Supply...
