Research Briefing
Our Global Economic Model simulations suggest that a permanent 40ppt tariff hike on US imports from Brazil would have limited...
Research Briefing
Our Global Economic Model simulations suggest that a permanent 40ppt tariff hike on US imports from Brazil would have limited...
Research Briefing
NATO's commitment to spend 5% of GDP annually on defence by 2035 is broadly in line with the change to...
Research Briefing
We expect UK employment will dip slightly in the second half of this year, as job cuts in lowerpaid parts...
Research Briefing
Explore the 2025/26 Queensland Budget, focusing on public infrastructure, housing support for first home buyers, and key projects for the...
Tariffs spark uncertainty in the global industrial sector, raising recession risks. What’s next for businesses? Discover insights from Oxford Economics.
Surging crude oil price from Iran-Israel conflict puts global GDP at risk. Is the world economy on the edge of...
Research Briefing
We think the damage from US tariffs on Eurozone consumer spending will be relatively mild. This is crucial for the...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.5% and announced its exit plan from quantitative easing at Tuesday's...
Research Briefing
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act could boost GDP over the next two years, with new tariffs helping to steady...
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
Research Briefing
We expect Japan's fiscal outlook to deteriorate due to weak economic growth and pressure on the government to implement fiscal...
Consulting Report
The report assesses the economic impact of Project Kuiper's launch partnerships in the EU.
Research Briefing
GDP growth likely to be revised up but will remain weaker than assumed prior to Liberation Day.
Research Briefing
Given the unique nature of the hike in US tariffs, the size of these supply and demand shocks and the...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent appreciation, our The flurry of tariff announcements by the US government over recent weeks have impacted on...
Research Briefing
Despite the recent appreciation, our forecast still sees a weaker euro versus the US dollar compared to our pre-US election...
Research Briefing
Our initial estimates of the direct impact from the US decision to raise tariffs on imports from the EU and...
Research Briefing
The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast.
Research Briefing
Wealth effects proved to be a quite reliable tailwind to consumer spending this cycle.
Research Briefing
The Spring Statement delivered on Wednesday 26 March is likely to prove a stopgap ahead of a more comprehensive overhaul...