Research Briefing
Finland’s Q2 GDP has been revised up slightly, which mechanically has lifted our forecast for 2021 growth. Most leading indicators...
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Research Briefing
We expect above-average growth in the eurozone over the coming quarters given the ample pent-up demand in the aftermath of...
Although the ‘ pingdemic ’ in July raised concerns about the UK economic recovery, the evidence is that activity has...
Research Briefing
Profitability has staged an impressive recovery, but the rise in Q1 operating margins to a 12-year high materially overstates corporate...
Research Briefing
The mainland economy advanced 1.4% q/q in Q2, lower than our 1.9%prediction. The final reopening of the economy has been...
Research Briefing
The race to succeed long-term Chancellor Merkel and lead Europe’s largest economy is wide open. But we think Germany will...
The rising threat of climate change is challenging governments around the world. Previous research by colleagues at Oxford Economics concludes...
Research Briefing
Earlier in July, the European Commission put forward a concrete set of proposals aimed at providing substance to the EU’s...
Research Briefing
The flash release estimates that GDP expanded 2.2% in Q2, slightly better than our 2.1% estimate, pushing the Danish economy...
Research Briefing
Sweden’s economy grew by 0.9% q/q in Q2 according to the flash estimate. This was below our forecast and driven...
Research Briefing
A decent rise in GDP in Q2 confirmed hopes that the relaxation of Covidrestrictions would trigger a strong response from...
Research Briefing
Finland’s GDP for 2020 has been revised down, with a larger contraction in the first half of the year and...
Research Briefing
Our Recovery Tracker recorded a second consecutive mild contraction in the week ending July 25, falling 0.3pts to 85. This...
Research Briefing
The rapid spread of the Delta variant has resulted in a third wave of Covid-19infections, almost as severe as the...
Rising coronavirus cases have resulted in London moving further from normality throughout June and into July. London’s normality score in...
Research Briefing
The region with the strongest forecast GVA rise in 2021 is the East Midlands, with an 8.2% increase, closely followed...
The construction sector did not escape the coronavirus-induced economic downdraft unscathed. Activity at the global scale fell 1.4% in 2020,...
Research Briefing
Signs continue to point towards a strong bounce back in economic activity inQ2. The vaccine rollout has advanced rapidly in...
Research Briefing
Elevated inflation is giving policymakers in Central and Eastern Europe headaches. Two of the regions’ outperformers, Poland and Hungary, are...
Research Briefing
We expect the more transmissible Delta coronavirus variant will have a much lower impact on European economies than previous waves,...
