Research Briefing
We expect GDP growth in both the US and world economy to slow sharply due to the tariff hikes, but...
Economic outlook
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 475 results
Research Briefing
The increase in tariffs announced so far will add more than 10ppts to the cost of business equipment in the...
Research Briefing
Research Briefing Australia Faces Election risk, but migration stabilisation on track
Research Briefing
The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast.
Research Briefing
Countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have been among the most exposed to Russia's war in Ukraine and will...
Research Briefing
The Spring Statement delivered on Wednesday 26 March is likely to prove a stopgap ahead of a more comprehensive overhaul...
Research Briefing
Related Services TradePrism TradePrism delivers advanced insights into global trade dynamics, helping policy leaders, supply chain strategists, and risk managers...
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
New geopolitical realities have forced the likely next German coalition of the CDU and SPD into agreeing to a massive...
Oxford Economics set the stage for the year ahead, at our second Global Economic Outlook Conference, in London on Wednesday,...
Research Briefing
We see little evidence that inflation will take a significant turn for the worse, which suggests that the risks of...
Research Briefing
US President Donald Trump has announced or threatened a range of fresh tariffs in recent weeks. While we expect the...
Research Briefing
We have revised our Eurozone labour market forecasts to incorporate the impact of US tariffs, and now expect employment growth to come to a near standstill this year. Although risks to the labour market are tilted to...
Research Briefing
The UK is planning one of the largest fiscal consolidations of any advanced economy over the next two years. We...
Consulting Report
Manchester United is considering several options for the development of their stadium at Old Trafford. As such, there is a...
Research Briefing
We think that valid concerns about the quality of data from the UK's Labour Force Survey (LFS) make it virtually...
Research Briefing
Our probability of recession models are approaching their zero bound and are at their lowest levels in more than two...
Research Briefing
Following prolonged weakness in 2022 and 2023, industrial growth is now regaining momentum.
Research Briefing
Vietnam's economy has been the region's outperformer in 2024, with full-year growth likely at 6.7% y/y. In 2025, we think...
Research Briefing
Slow economic growth will likely continue in Canada in 2025 as significant policy shocks threaten to reshape the landscape.
