Research Briefing
The minutes from the July ECB meeting, when the bank ended the period of the negative interest rates in the...
Research Briefing
The minutes from the July ECB meeting, when the bank ended the period of the negative interest rates in the...
Research Briefing
The Norway mainland GDP forecast has been raised 0.5ppts to 3% following a slight growth surprise in Q2 and a...
Our modelling suggests incorporating owner-occupied housing costs would lower eurozone headline inflation from Q3 2022 by 0.3ppts, with negative contributions...
Research Briefing
Among large US metros, several southern ones are likely to out-perform over the 2022-26 period, including Dallas and Atlanta as...
Research Briefing
If successful, the Turkey-brokered deal between Russia and Ukraine to unblock Ukraine's ports and facilitate grain exports would be highly...
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Finland by 0.3ppts to 0.5%. Although growth in Q2 remained resilient...
Research Briefing
After the West and its allies imposed sanctions on Russia for invading Ukraine, President Putin announced a radical rehaul of...
Research Briefing
A right-wing coalition government is expected to win in the upcoming Italian elections in September. Although "euroexit" is now very...
Research Briefing
We have expanded our climate transmission channels on the Global Economic Model to include more sub-Saharan African economies. Through scenario...
Research Briefing
We estimate consumer spending in the eurozone increased by 0.8% q/q in Q2, despite persistent elevated inflation denting real incomes...
Research Briefing
In early August, Russia's Gazprom refused to accept a Siemens' turbine used in Nord Stream 1, citing technical issues. Gazprom...
Research Briefing
The Danish economy surprised to the upside in Q2, expanding by 0.7% q/q. This showing raised our 2022 GDP growth...
Research Briefing
As European inflation reaches record levels, the impact varies across cities and regions. We estimate that most large European cities...
Research Briefing
As expected, the FOMC delivered its second consecutive 75bps rate hike, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate...
Research Briefing
We have cut our China growth forecast to 3.2% in 2022, from 4% previously, reflecting dismal Q2 growth and the...
Research Briefing
With most of the continent finally treating Covid as endemic, we expect APAC's private consumption growth to remain resilient in...
Research Briefing
The post-pandemic recovery in business investment in Japan is lagging other GDP contributors. But we expect the pent-up demand accumulated...
Research Briefing
There are five days to go until Kenya's high-stakes elections on August 9. All eyes are on the presidential vote,...
Research Briefing
Consumer spending in 2022 is stronger in London than in other UK nations and regions, although most—if not all—of the...
Research Briefing
Africa is disproportionately affected by climate change. It accounts for only 3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, in contrast to...