Research Briefing
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia would provide a modest boost to EU economies, mainly due to higher military spending...
Research Briefing
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia would provide a modest boost to EU economies, mainly due to higher military spending...
Research Briefing
European pharmaceuticals, machinery, and high-tech goods are heavily exported to the US, making them vulnerable to across-the-board US tariffs. However,...
Research Briefing
The narrative surrounding policymaking and its near-term economic impact has shifted dramatically from the January to February baseline forecast.
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges of this century.
Webinar
Conflict has escalated in the eastern DRC after March 23 Movement (M23) rebels seized Goma – the largest city in...
Research Briefing
President Trump initiated a global trade war by announcing across-the-board tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. This development came sooner...
Consulting Report
The EU VAT Gap 2024 report offers an extensive analysis of the value-added tax (VAT) compliance and policy gaps across...
Elections have consequences, and inaugurating a new president means policy change will soon follow.
Research Briefing
Our Watchlist 2025 unpacks the likelihood of a South African economic boom and Kenya falling off a fiscal cliff. We...
Fundamental forces including demographics, Ai, geopolitics and climate change play a key role in building resilience into long-term CRE investment...
Research Briefing
We expect Trump's tariffs will reduce global trade values by more than 7% by 2030 compared to our pre-election forecasts.
Research Briefing
The three major policy proposals planned for the second Trump administration—expansionary fiscal policy, lower immigration, and tariffs—will have mixed implications...
Research Briefing
Trump's first term was marked by policies and pronouncements that strained international relations, including trade tariffs and a travel ban...
Research Briefing
The spread between French and German government bonds has reached its highest level since the height of the eurozone sovereign...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing presents two scenarios for Ghana’s December 7 general election, based on our assessment of the election manifestos...
Research Briefing
u live in interesting times in US The first release of the November baseline incorporated the election outcome, but in...
At Oxford Economics, we have been closely monitoring the potential impact of President Trump's tax cuts on the US economy....
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast assumes that President-elect Trump won't increase tariffs on US imports from the UK. In fact, the main...
Research Briefing
We received many questions, including during our recent webinar, about the changes to the forecast following the election along with...
Research Briefing
Our sticker-shock model of the 2024 presidential election accurately predicted the winner of nearly all 50 states and the District...