Trade policy uncertainty is at a historical high, with ongoing shifts in tariff rhetoric and evolving geopolitical dynamics clouding the...
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Research Briefing
Our proprietary Eurozone Supply Stress Indicator shows that supply stress is still low, even after the US tariff announcement on...
Research Briefing
We expect the peak economic drag for China from the exogenous demand shock generated by higher tariffs to occur in...
Research Briefing
GDP growth likely to be revised up but will remain weaker than assumed prior to Liberation Day.
Please join us for this webinar as we present how our Q2 2025 Megatrends Scenarios can help you navigate long-term...
Research Briefing
The latest US-China tariff deal suggests less of a drag on the economy through the rest of this year.
Oxford Economics, a global leader in economic forecasting and data analytics, has announced the launch of its TradePrism platform on...
Research Briefing
We will not change our US forecasts based on the latest US-UK deal and what it signals for future agreements.
Research Briefing
The worst-case US tariff scenario sees significantly weaker growth than in our baseline, but the upsides to growth for many...
Research Briefing
The impact of President Donald Trump's trade war is more visible in some data than others. While tariffs had their...
Trade wars are costly for everyone, but there are clear relative losers and winners. Tariffs will cripple US-China trade, and...
La mayoría de los países latinoamericanos enfrentarán impactos arancelarios directos muy limitados, dada su menor dependencia de las exportaciones hacia...
Explore our latest analysis on tariffs and their impact on the economy, trade, financial markets, supply chain and your business.
Trump’s tariffs are undermining the long-established international trading framework and sparking a global trade war that nobody will win. This...
We will examine what US tariffs mean for the region. Most Latin American countries face lower direct trade disruptions than...
US tariffs of 25% on all automobile and auto parts will weigh heavily on the Japanese and South Korean automotive...
Research Briefing
Trade tensions between the US and China have continued to ratchet-up over the last week. While the exemptions to technology...
Research Briefing
We've cut our GDP growth forecasts for Japan by 0.2ppts to 0.8% in 2025 and by 0.4ppts to 0.2% in...
Research Briefing
President Trump's recent tariff announcements, and the global response, have meant a fast-changing policy landscape with significant effects on our...
Europe's major city economies, on average, are fairly well-insulated. However, within this group there are still some notable variations.