COP26—the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference—will bring together countries with the aim of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by mid-century....
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Research Briefing
Across APAC, many cities have similar stories to tell—of 2021 economic growth being frustrated by the reimposition of lockdowns, and...
Research Briefing
The global economic outlook appears to be deteriorating, according to our quarterly review of alternative measures of economic risk. Most...
Research Briefing
Notwithstanding Covid-related risks, we expect Asian currencies will show resilience in the face of tighter US monetary policy, particularly when...
Research Briefing
The role of the RMB is greatest where China is a major destination for manufacturing exports, suggesting that the degree...
Research Briefing
Ghana managed to fight off the worst effects of the Covid-19 pandemic last year. While the country's economic prospects remain...
Research Briefing
Our ASEAN-6 growth tracker, which includes Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Vietnam, points to a weak start to...
Research Briefing
Foreign militaries, especially those from the US and France, have invested enormous resources in battling Islamist militancy in Africa, but...
Research Briefing
Oil exports from Saudi Arabia soared to SAR61.5bn in June, a 123% increase from a year earlier, as oil output...
Research Briefing
South Korea’s trade has remained resilient despite rising global Covid cases, with export and import momentum gaining further traction. We...
Research Briefing
The fiscal and monetary response to the pandemic will leave a lasting mark on the net trade position of the...
Research Briefing
We recently concluded that, judging by China’s export performance in the last two years, there is little evidence so far...
Research Briefing
The protracted Greater Sydney lockdown, and return to lockdown conditions in other capital cities and regions has led to a...
Research Briefing
We estimate world GDP surpassed pre-pandemic levels in Q2. But in recent weeks surging cases of the Delta variant have...
Research Briefing
We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium...
Research Briefing
Following record declines in 2020, we forecast strong 6.1% pa APAC GDP growth over the next two years. Nonetheless, the...
Consulting Report
The Port of London Authority (PLA) commissioned Oxford Economics to produce forecasts of cargo handled in the Port of London...
Research Briefing
OPEC+ negotiations to raise oil production in the coming months are indeadlock as the UAE opposed an extension of the...
Research Briefing
South Africa was particularly hard hit by the Covid-19 pandemic as the government imposed strict containment measures. As such, the...
Research Briefing
A shift to a new policy regime with much higher and more volatile inflation is a possibility that can’t be...