A 10% blanket tariff rising to 25% in June, coupled with tit-for-tat retaliation, would cause EU manufacturing value-added output to...
US tariffs
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Research Briefing
With US tariff threats escalating over Greenland and Europe weighing retaliation, could this standoff trigger a broader trade war and...
Research Briefing
China’s emerging roles as both a critical intermediate goods supplier to global supply chains and a dominant producer of high...
Research Briefing
Our supply-chain stress index eased in August as early shipping demand faded. However, a long government shutdown could disrupt cargo...
US tariffs and global trade tensions will slow growth across Latin America in 2026. Which countries will remain resilient despite...
Research Briefing
The global economy faces its weakest expansion since 2009 (ex-2020) as US tariffs and fiscal policy shifts weigh on investment...
In a rapidly evolving global trade environment, businesses must stay ahead of changing tariffs and regulatory demands. Our latest blog...
Amid ongoing global trade uncertainty, business leaders are struggling to plan ahead as new tariffs continue to reshape the market....
Research Briefing
We estimate that the US's effective tariff rate on Japanese products is around 17%, in line with our baseline assumption....
Research Briefing
The scale of the US tariffs announced on April 2 suggests the economic impact on the Eurozone will be swift....
Research Briefing
Our proprietary Eurozone Supply Stress Indicator shows that supply stress is still low, even after the US tariff announcement on...
Research Briefing
President Trump's recent tariff announcements, and the global response, have meant a fast-changing policy landscape with significant effects on our...
Research Briefing
The 'Liberation Day' tariffs announced by US President Trump have been postponed. But they will have significant consequences for ASEAN...
Research Briefing
The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast.
Research Briefing
US tariffs of 25% on all automobile and auto parts will weigh heavily on the Japanese and South Korean automotive...
Research Briefing
The 'Liberation Day' tariffs, together with separately announced higher tariffs on auto imports to the US, will lead us to...
Research Briefing
President Trump ordered a 25% tariff on autos and auto parts, starting on April 3.
Tariffs are taxes imposed by a government on goods and services imported from other countries. Think of tariff like an...
Research Briefing
The slew of tariff proposals coming out of the US has added much uncertainty to the highly export-reliant Singapore economy....
Research Briefing
Cuts to the Federal government workforce, which we estimate to be 200,000 in 2025, will have a modest impact nationally,...
