Research Briefing
Rising energy prices are set to lift US PCE inflation to its highest level since 2023, with further pressure expected...
Inflation
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 679 results
Research Briefing
Oil prices are pulling back, but inflation pressures and weakening demand are starting to build. Is this just temporary relief,...
Research Briefing
Higher oil prices may lift short-term inflation expectations, but long-term expectations remain anchored near the Fed’s 2% target. This limits...
Research Briefing
The disruption in oil prices due to the Iran conflict will have a disproportionate impact on low-income households, as they...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.75% at its March meeting. We now project the central...
Research Briefing
In response to the US-Iran war, we've downgraded our forecast for GCC real GDP growth by 1.8ppts to 2.6% for...
Research Briefing
Energy prices are pushing inflation higher in the UK and Eurozone, undermining the idea that central banks can simply look...
Research Briefing
RESEARCH BRIEFING Wage growth should slow, but upside risks persist in Australia Labour shortages and strong demand continue to support...
Research Briefing
Our January PCE nowcast points to a slightly stronger monthly gain than seen in the CPI report, with headline PCE...
Research Briefing
RESEARCH BRIEFING Rates to move higher as inflation refuses to play ball in Australia Strong inflation and jobs data delay...
Research Briefing
We've raised our terminal rate assumption for the Bank of Japan to 1.5% from 1% in February. This reflects changes...
Research Briefing
In our upcoming February forecast update, we'll stick to our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 0.25ppts to 0.75% at its meeting on Friday, which the dovish...
Research Briefing
A household needed to earn an annual income of $110,100 to afford a single-family home and pay both property taxes...
Research Briefing
The US macroeconomic implications are minor, and the resulting reduction in inflation next year is no more than just a...
Research Briefing
The end of the government shutdown did not alter the broader economic trajectory, but it did create a sharp swing...
Research Briefing
Australia’s outlook is improving as household spending strengthens and property prices surge, though inflation keeps the RBA cautious.
Research Briefing
Our modelling shows European real estate is most exposed to inflation and bond-yield shocks, with impacts varying widely across cities...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.5% at its October meeting, after a 7-2 majority vote....
Research Briefing
Australia’s unemployment hit 4.5% in September, the highest in nearly four years. As inflation stays elevated, the RBA faces pressure...
