Research Briefing
The slew of tariff proposals coming out of the US has added much uncertainty to the highly export-reliant Singapore economy....
Research Briefing
The slew of tariff proposals coming out of the US has added much uncertainty to the highly export-reliant Singapore economy....
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
New geopolitical realities have forced the likely next German coalition of the CDU and SPD into agreeing to a massive...
Research Briefing
First-quarter GDP is tracking weakly at 1% annualized, but we think a lot of the swings in the data are...
Research Briefing
The impact of AI is highly visible in some segments of the economy but barely seen in others, leaving the...
Research Briefing
We've lowered our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Australia by 0.1ppt to 1.9% due to a weaker outlook for near-term...
Research Briefing
Related Services US Forecasting Service Access to short- and long-term analysis, scenarios and forecasts for the US economy. Find Out...
Research Briefing
The UK is planning one of the largest fiscal consolidations of any advanced economy over the next two years. We...
Consulting Report
GoWest commissioned Oxford Economics an analysis of credit unions’ economic impact in Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, Washington, and Wyoming. The...
Research Briefing
We think that valid concerns about the quality of data from the UK's Labour Force Survey (LFS) make it virtually...
Consulting Report
The EU VAT Gap 2024 report offers an extensive analysis of the value-added tax (VAT) compliance and policy gaps across...
Research Briefing
Our probability of recession models are approaching their zero bound and are at their lowest levels in more than two...
Research Briefing
Our Watchlist 2025 unpacks the likelihood of a South African economic boom and Kenya falling off a fiscal cliff. We...
Research Briefing
Vietnam's economy has been the region's outperformer in 2024, with full-year growth likely at 6.7% y/y. In 2025, we think...
Consulting Report
This study, commissioned by the Motion Picture Association (MPA) - Canada, focuses on the production of the fifth season of...
Research Briefing
Canadian metros have seen rapid population growth over the last few years, but that is expected to come to a...
Research Briefing
Blanket 25% tariffs on Canada threatened by US President-elect Donald Trump earlier this week would push Canada into a recession...
Consulting Report
Discover South African Airways' growing impact on South Africa's economy, with contributions to GDP, job creation, and government revenue projected...
Research Briefing
The latest nationally determined contributions (NDCs) contain astonishing funding requirements. The funding needed to adapt to climate change and mitigate...
Research Briefing
In the second release of the November baseline, we updated our tariff assumptions, but the impact on GDP, inflation, and...