Research Briefing
We forecast GDP will increase in 32 of the 50 largest metros in 2023. Tech metros and those with significant...
Research Briefing
We forecast GDP will increase in 32 of the 50 largest metros in 2023. Tech metros and those with significant...
Research Briefing
Despite sluggish demand growth prospects, advanced economies (AEs) automotives production growth is forecast to accelerate in 2023 as easing supply...
Research Briefing
After a mixed 2022, with post-pandemic recovery driving strong growth in the first half of the year, a recession over...
Research Briefing
While nearly every metro in Canada will experience at least a minor recession between Q4 2022 and Q3 2023, on...
Quantifying the economic impact of climate change becomes crucial, particularly in a rapidly warming planet.
Research Briefing
Middle Eastern and North African cities are set to experience some of the fastest rates of employment and population growth...
Research Briefing
The US economy will need a lot of luck to avoid a recession next year because the headwinds are about to intensify. We...
Research Briefing
Canada has likely just entered a moderate recession that will last for much of 2023.
Research Briefing
Financial conditions in Canada have tightened significantly this year and we estimate this will shave 0.7ppts off GDP growth by...
Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve knows that their mission to tame inflation isn’t complete, and odds are rising that the central bank...
Research Briefing
The 2023 outlook for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will not compare to this year's spectacular expansion. That said,...
Research Briefing
Tightening US financial conditions over the past year will likely trim 0.2ppts from Q4 2022 GDP growth.
Research Briefing
Over 2023, we expect global food, energy, and goods inflation to fall sharply. That said, the degree to which services...
Research Briefing
Swings in oil prices pack less of an economic punch than in the past but sudden increases can still be...
Research Briefing
Much of the economic weakness we are currently witnessing will likely spill over into 2023. African economies' ability to deal...
Research Briefing
The outlook for Latin America changed dramatically after Russia's invasion of Ukraine last February.
Research Briefing
The semiconductor cycle has already turned and is likely to continue softening into next year. As the world's largest producer...
Research Briefing
We expect the UK economy to be in recession for most of 2023, with activity dragged down by falling real...
Research Briefing
The decline in house prices triggers falls in residential investment. Consumer spending also weakens as credit conditions tighten and worsening...
Research Briefing
Pioneering research has used panel econometric techniques to estimate the economic impact of average temperatures. Building on that approach, we...