Research Briefing
Despite a better start to 2022 than previously estimated, we have kept our forecast for this year unchanged due to...
Research Briefing
Despite a better start to 2022 than previously estimated, we have kept our forecast for this year unchanged due to...
Research Briefing
We have kept our growth forecast for Sweden in 2022 largely unchanged but lowered it for next year to 1.6%...
Research Briefing
2022 is proving to be a very disappointing year for global GDP growth, with risks that the outlook could worsen....
Research Briefing
We have cut our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 0.7ppts to 3.1% to reflect the prospect of energy...
Research Briefing
We expect eurozone services prices to continue to rise sharply over the summer as the sector's recovery progresses. The ECB...
Research Briefing
Recession risks are mounting globally, including in the eurozone. Growing recession fears have resulted in large drops in oil prices...
Research Briefing
The resignation of Prime Minister Boris Johnson could leave a policy vacuum in the UK as the Conservative Party embarks...
Research Briefing
We now see gas rationing this winter in European economies most reliant on Russia as very likely. Our modelling finds...
Research Briefing
Surging inflation across Europe has led us to lower the outlook for real growth in consumer spending this year, although...
Research Briefing
Memories of the inflationary tsunami that hit the UK in the 1970s have been rekindled by inflation surging to a...
Research Briefing
The eurozone's labour market has outperformed expectations since the start of the pandemic, but current headwinds to economic growth are...
Research Briefing
Monthly data from Russia's trading partners indicate a rapid reorientation of Russian exports towards Asian markets. In particular, the data...
Research Briefing
Central banks have changed the way they react to economic conditions, largely focussing on current inflation and its impact on...
Research Briefing
The expectation of a strong recovery in the tourism sector, coupled with the divergence between resilient services activity and a...
Research Briefing
We have increased our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Finland to 1.8% from 1.5% last month, due to a stronger-than-expected...
Research Briefing
Denmark's inflation outlook is deteriorating rapidly. With the EU announcing plans to wind down imports of Russian oil, higher-for-longer oil...
Research Briefing
We have lowered Sweden's growth outlook for this year to 2.1% from 2.6% last month, a move largely driven by...
Research Briefing
The message sent by May's UK PMIs of an economy suffering a loss of momentum but still under strong inflationary...
Research Briefing
The global economic environment has shifted with international price inflation surging, monetary conditions being aggressively tightened, and a number of...
Research Briefing
As expected, the ECB council agreed to end the era of nonstandard monetary policy measures by September as it gears...