RESEARCH BRIEFING
03 Mar 2026
Stage set for strong Q4 GDP print despite slowdown in trade in Australia
Government spending drives Q4 growth as trade softens and the current account deficit widens.
Government spending did the heavy lifting in Q4, more than offsetting the small drag from net trade and setting the stage for a solid Q4 GDP print tomorrow.
- The current account deficit widened as income from foreign investments fell and the trade balance softened. Quarterly increases in nominal imports (+3.3%) were offset by increases in nominal exports (+3.2%)
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