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South Korea: Construction Outlook, March 2024

Total construction work done is forecast to expand 8.8% in 2024 after falling 0.1% last year. Demand for construction came in lower than expected in late 2023, weighed down by uncertainty around global growth, still heightened interest rates, and weakened business confidence. Construction activity this year will be boosted by falling interest rates, with the Bank of Korea expected to begin rate cuts in Q2 as inflation falls towards the target of 2%. We expect work done to climb an average 1.8% p.a. over the four years to 2028.

Japan: Construction Outlook, March 2024

We forecast total construction work done to accelerate 4.8% in 2024. Civil engineering construction and non-residential building will drive the near term while residential building will continue to weigh on growth. Robust future capex plans will support construction activity. However, business investment has remained on a downtrend with the realisation of capex plans slow. There remains a downside risk to our forecast should expenditure plans remain slow. Nonetheless, inflation pressures are set to ease throughout 2024 and provide a boost to activity