Die Außenhandelspolitik der neuen US-Regierung hält die Welt in Atem. Hohe Zölle und enorme Unsicherheit bremsen die globale Konjunktur, und...
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Research Briefing
Our sentiment data-based nowcast, developed with Penta, suggests UK employment growth has continued to slow in recent months.
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region concluded an eventful week as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE hosted President Trump...
Research Briefing
The imposition of larger-than-expected tariffs on US imports will lead us to cut our UK growth forecast.
Research Briefing
US tariffs of 25% on all automobile and auto parts will weigh heavily on the Japanese and South Korean automotive...
Research Briefing
Research Briefing US Rolls Up Welcome Mat for International Travel Trump tariffs set to raise effective rate above 1930s levels.
Research Briefing
Countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have been among the most exposed to Russia's war in Ukraine and will...
Research Briefing
The Spring Statement delivered on Wednesday 26 March is likely to prove a stopgap ahead of a more comprehensive overhaul...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast now assumes that European defence spending will rise to 3% of GDP by the end of the...
Tariffs are taxes imposed by a government on goods and services imported from other countries. Think of tariff like an...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.50% at Wednesday's meeting, as expected. Despite a marginally higher...
Mentre il mondo si scontra con un’amministrazione Trump molto interventista, l’economia dell’Eurozona rimane sostanzialmente bloccata, in attesa di sviluppi sul...
Dans une période où l’incertitude atteint des niveaux record, nous distinguons le bruit du signal et analysons les implications de...
New geopolitical realities have forced the likely next German coalition of the CDU and SPD into agreeing to a massive...
Research Briefing
A North American trade war unfolded in dramatic fashion this week.
Research Briefing
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia would provide a modest boost to EU economies, mainly due to higher military spending...
Research Briefing
European pharmaceuticals, machinery, and high-tech goods are heavily exported to the US, making them vulnerable to across-the-board US tariffs. However,...
Research Briefing
The narrative surrounding policymaking and its near-term economic impact has shifted dramatically from the January to February baseline forecast.
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges of this century.
Webinar
Conflict has escalated in the eastern DRC after March 23 Movement (M23) rebels seized Goma – the largest city in...