Research Briefing
We will revise the forecast for federal employment significantly lower this year, and in subsequent years, because of the announced...
Fiscal policy
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 294 results
Research Briefing
Prime Minister Sir Kier Starmer has pledged to increase the UK's defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027, following...
Research Briefing
First-quarter GDP is tracking weakly at 1% annualized, but we think a lot of the swings in the data are...
Oxford Economics set the stage for the year ahead, at our second Global Economic Outlook Conference, in London on Wednesday,...
Webinar
Chinese policymakers have doubled down in recent months in signalling a strong policy response to the economy’s domestic and external...
Research Briefing
For many households, tax refunds represent the biggest cash-flow event of the year. It's early, but we think this will...
Research Briefing
The April increase in employers' national insurance contributions will weaken the UK labour market, increasing unemployment. Sectors with the greatest...
Research Briefing
The narrative surrounding policymaking and its near-term economic impact has shifted dramatically from the January to February baseline forecast.
Research Briefing
The UK is planning one of the largest fiscal consolidations of any advanced economy over the next two years. We...
Research Briefing
President Trump launched the first salvo in what will like turn into another global trade war. A 10% additional tariff...
Research Briefing
President Donald Trump signed a slew of executive orders related to immigration, trade, and the federal government workplace, but these...
Consulting Report
The EU VAT Gap 2024 report offers an extensive analysis of the value-added tax (VAT) compliance and policy gaps across...
Research Briefing
The aggregate economic impact of the recently finalised EU-Mercosur trade pact will be modest if it gets final approval.
Research Briefing
Our Watchlist 2025 unpacks the likelihood of a South African economic boom and Kenya falling off a fiscal cliff. We...
Research Briefing
The creation of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), along with the incoming Treasury secretary's goal of halving the deficit...
Research Briefing
The three major policy proposals planned for the second Trump administration—expansionary fiscal policy, lower immigration, and tariffs—will have mixed implications...
Research Briefing
The spread between French and German government bonds has reached its highest level since the height of the eurozone sovereign...
Research Briefing
House prices are booming in Spain. A combination of strong demand and supply-side constraints has placed significant upward pressure on...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing presents two scenarios for Ghana’s December 7 general election, based on our assessment of the election manifestos...
Research Briefing
We estimate that the weight-loss drug industry will be worth $80bn-140bn annually by 2030, thanks to rising rates of obesity...
