Research Briefing
We have revised down our global economic forecasts slightly from our snap post-election assessment. The broad picture is little changed,...
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 531 results
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast assumes that President-elect Trump won't increase tariffs on US imports from the UK. In fact, the main...
Research Briefing
The election of Donald Trump will affect global construction activity through fiscal stimulus, curbed immigration, increased tariffs, and policy decisions.
Research Briefing
We are cautiously optimistic about the medium-term outlook for the Nordic cities, and we expect them to continue to outperform...
Research Briefing
Increased spending to meet the needs of an ageing population jeopardises the sustainability of Europe's public pension systems, based on...
Research Briefing
Another Trump presidency will increase US fiscal stimulus, curb immigration, and lead to new tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico, and...
Research Briefing
Our probability of recession models showed marked improvement in September, reversing much of the recent rise. Against this backdrop, our...
Consulting Report
Economic impact study quantifying Shell's economic footprint in the Netherlands. The study also considers Shells impact on Dutch society, impacts...
Research Briefing
China's economy looks to have entered a marked downturn. Cyclical trends in China are always tricky to assess given the...
Research Briefing
We still see the presidential election as a coin flip, but our updated scenarios suggest that upside risks to our...
Consulting Report
This report estimates the national economic contribution of the US nuclear power industry, the state-level contributions, and the local contribution...
Consulting Report
This report quantifies the economic impact that bp supported in both the UK national and regional economies in 2023.
Research Briefing
Hurricane Helene will affect the labor market, consumer spending, housing, corporate profits, and industrial production, but the implications for Q4...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for some form of divided government that will not alter the current trajectory of industrial growth. If either side achieves a...
Research Briefing
Lacklustre eurozone growth momentum looks unlikely to meaningfully pick up before the end of the year. Our GDP nowcasting models...
Research Briefing
A Kamala Harris presidency wouldn't materially alter the economic outlook for Canada. Another term for Donald Trump would usher in...
Research Briefing
The UK grew at an above-trend pace in H1 2024, but we don't expect this to be sustained over the...
Research Briefing
Four themes have dictated Asia's macroeconomic outlook over the summer and are likely to continue to exert an influence over...
Research Briefing
GDP growth among Latin America's largest six economies will improve on the margin next year and surprise the consensus to...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast assumes generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) will boost eurozone GDP level by 1.4% over the next 15 years,...
