Global and Asia Economic Outlook: Stronger Growth, but Bigger Risks
16:00 – 18:00 | The Executive Centre, Singapore Land Tower, 50 Raffles Place, Singapore 048623
Global growth is set to accelerate in 2027, US consumers and businesses remain the main engines of demand, China’s recovery is still unbalanced, and Europe risks promising more fiscal stimulus than it can deliver. Meanwhile, tariffs, new trade agreements, the AI investment boom, shipping vulnerabilities, and China’s changing place in global supply chains are redrawing the map of world trade.
Join us as we discuss the key forces shaping global and regional growth, which trade relationships will matter, and where we think the biggest risks are.
Topics include:
- Why we’re above-consensus on the US, and what shapes its economic resilience beyond the mid-term elections
- How China’s policies are adapting towards new growth drivers, and why we now think that means a lengthy economic transition away from a property-led growth model
- How we think Asia is positioned given its strengths in manufacturing and energy dependence
- How global trade is being reshaped by tariffs, new trade agreements, AI, shifting supply chains, and emerging vulnerabilities in global shipping
Agenda
Our Speakers
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Harry Murphy Cruise
Head of Economic Research and Global Trade
Harry Murphy CruiseHead of Economic Research and Global Trade
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/harry-murphy-cruise/
Harry Murphy Cruise is the Head of Economic Research and Global Trade at Oxford Economics Australia. He leads the Australian Macroeconomic Service and global trade initiatives, including TradePrism. Harry frequently provides insights to major media outlets, including CNBC, BBC, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal. His research primarily focuses on global trade and investment flows, with particular interest in the challenges and opportunities of economic decoupling.
Harry holds a master’s degree in international and development economics from the Australian National University and a bachelor’s degree in arts and commerce from Monash University. He is a PhD candidate at ANU, exploring the role of China’s diverse households and firms in the country’s economic transition.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Harry was the Head of China and Australia Economics at Moody’s Analytics. He was previously responsible for Australian state and territory analysis at Deloitte Access Economics.
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Louise Loo
Head of Asia Economics
Louise LooHead of Asia Economics
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louiseloo/
Louise Loo is the Head of Asia Economics at Oxford Economics. She leads the firm’s macroeconomic research and forecasting efforts on Greater China.
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, she was a senior economist at Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. At Goldman Sachs, she was also a long-term advisor to China Ministry of Finance and the China-based Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) with regards to their sovereign credit ratings.
Louise is a regular contributor to various international financial news outlets and has earned Economics and public policy degrees with Sheffield University and Columbia University.
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