We have recently published our outlook for the GCC in 2025. The report highlights that we expect regional GDP growth...
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GCC economies ended 2024 on a firm note according to December PMI surveys, with business activity rising especially strongly in...
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Qatar’s budget for 2025 balances higher expenditure against conservative revenue assumptions. The projected uplift in spending to 210 billion riyal...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan kept its policy rate at 0.25% at Thursday's meeting, as we expected. We believe that the...
Ending over five decades of rule, the Assad regime in Syria collapsed as opposition forces took control of the capital...
Research Briefing
We expect the euro to stabilise against the dollar and trade around its current levels over the next year. Economic...
Research Briefing
The spread between French and German government bonds has reached its highest level since the height of the eurozone sovereign...
Turkey's inflation fell to 47.1% in November, marking the lowest reading since mid-2023 and the 6th consecutive month of decline....
Saudi Arabia's credit rating was raised by Moody's to its highest level since 2016 and third highest in the region....
Research Briefing
We think the environment of strong US demand coupled with still ample global liquidity, should be positive for US risk...
After losing momentum last quarter, Israel's GDP beat expectations in Q3, rebounding by 3.8% on an annualised basis.
Research Briefing
Oxford Economics' new proprietary business cycle indicator shows that real US construction spending is firmly in a decelerating growth phase.
Research Briefing
We have revised down our global economic forecasts slightly from our snap post-election assessment. The broad picture is little changed,...
Research Briefing
Fears that President-elect Donald Trump would attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell or meddle with the Federal Open...
Egypt’s inflation edged higher again in October, increasing to 26.5%. The rise in inflation since August has been driven by...
OPEC+ has delayed a planned supply increase until January due to concerns over weak demand showing the group continues to...
Following Israel's strike on Iran in response to the 1st October missile attacks, Brent crude fell sharply, dropping some $4pb....
The IMF has lowered its 2024 GDP growth forecasts for Saudi Arabia to 1.5% from 1.7% in its July estimate,...
OPEC announced further cuts to its global oil demand growth forecast, reducing 2024's estimate to 1.9 million bpd and 2025’s...
Research Briefing
Treasuries have stumbled since the Federal Open Market Committee's aggressive 50bp rate cut in September, but our baseline longer-term outlook...