Senior Editor Teri Robinson spoke with Chief US Economist Ryan Sweet about the what the second Trump administration will mean...
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 644 results
Research Briefing
Donald Trump's tariff threats for day one of his new presidency would have a heavy impact on the Mexican economy...
Research Briefing
The debt limit was reinstated at $36tn on January 2, but it's not a hard deadline for Congress to act...
Research Briefing
Our probability of recession models are approaching their zero bound and are at their lowest levels in more than two...
Fundamental forces including demographics, Ai, geopolitics and climate change play a key role in building resilience into long-term CRE investment...
Research Briefing
We expect the euro to stabilise against the dollar and trade around its current levels over the next year. Economic...
Research Briefing
The risks around the forecast for federal government employment are skewed to the downside because of the limited scope for...
Research Briefing
Trump's first term was marked by policies and pronouncements that strained international relations, including trade tariffs and a travel ban...
Research Briefing
January poses a triple threat to US imports
Research Briefing
The policy implications from a second Trump presidency are expected to affect US commercial real estate (CRE) through curbed immigration,...
Research Briefing
Our proprietary models signal the lowest probability of recession in more than two years as strong incoming data indicates that...
Research Briefing
u live in interesting times in US The first release of the November baseline incorporated the election outcome, but in...
Research Briefing
In the second release of the November baseline, we updated our tariff assumptions, but the impact on GDP, inflation, and...
Research Briefing
We have revised down our global economic forecasts slightly from our snap post-election assessment. The broad picture is little changed,...
Research Briefing
Fears that President-elect Donald Trump would attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell or meddle with the Federal Open...
Research Briefing
With the heighted policy uncertainty and volatility in the bond market, can the US sustain its economic edge in 2025?
Research Briefing
Our nowcast suggests October's headline and core PCE inflation will be at their fastest monthly pace in six months and...
Research Briefing
We received many questions, including during our recent webinar, about the changes to the forecast following the election along with...
Research Briefing
Housing affordability has dropped significantly over the last five years in every major metro as house prices soared and mortgage...
Research Briefing
Our sticker-shock model of the 2024 presidential election accurately predicted the winner of nearly all 50 states and the District...
