Research Briefing
Regions such as the South and West will bear the brunt of the drag on consumer spending.
Research Briefing
Regions such as the South and West will bear the brunt of the drag on consumer spending.
Executive Summary
This quarter’s scenarios quantify key risks to the global economy. These relate primarily to trade protectionism and other geopolitical tensions,...
Consulting Report
The report evaluates the direct and indirect economic benefits of US funding for malaria control through two major channels: the...
Consulting Report
This study, commissioned by General Mills, analyzes the company's economic impact in the US, including its operations, supply chain, and...
Research Briefing
The US has seen short-term gains from higher tariffs, with markets steady and growth holding up. But investment weakness, rising...
Research Briefing
Net immigration trends and labor market implications
Research Briefing
Labor market conditions loosen, prompting an earlier Fed rate cut
Research Briefing
Large primary deficits make for a concerning fiscal outlook
Research Briefing
Our current estimate of the US statutory tariff rate exceeds the effective rate implied by the duty calculated by the...
Research Briefing
Despite fewer international visitors and weakening economic confidence, the US leisure and hospitality sector is proving resilient
Infographic
Discover which U.S. metros are primed for consumer spending growth
Research Briefing
The reversal of tariff-related front-loading pressures continues to offer relief to our supply-chain stress index.
Research Briefing
Millions are expected to lose coverage due to new eligibility rules and the expiration of premium subsidies.
Research Briefing
The US economy has slowed and become bifurcated across consumers, the business environment and the labor market.
In a rapidly evolving global trade environment, businesses must stay ahead of changing tariffs and regulatory demands. Our latest blog...
Amid ongoing global trade uncertainty, business leaders are struggling to plan ahead as new tariffs continue to reshape the market....
Research Briefing
The US economy will enjoy rising demand in 2026 and 2027, boosted by the recent deficit financed federal tax and...
Research Briefing
The budget reconciliation bill (OBBBA) ushers in significant cuts to the federal government's nutrition assistance program, or SNAP, that will...
Research Briefing
High-tech goods, pharma, and aerospace will be among the fastest growing segments over the next decade.
We built a forward-looking framework for analyzing how US tariffs achieve or undermine the various goals touted by policymakers.