Research Briefing
Our sticker-shock model of the 2024 presidential election accurately predicted the winner of nearly all 50 states and the District...
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Research Briefing
Following the outcome of the US elections, we have adopted our 'limited Trump' scenario as our new baseline forecast. Our...
Research Briefing
Inflation is the foremost issue voters are concerned about, and how it is perceived will determine the election.
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for some form of divided government that will not alter the current trajectory of industrial growth. If either side achieves a...
Research Briefing
Though Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of winning the election have improved since her debate with former President Donald Trump,...
Research Briefing
Vice President Kamala Harris has released the first part of her economic plan. In it, she proposes an expansion of...
Research Briefing
We subjectively assign a greater probability of a divided government after the 2024 elections rather than one that is fully...
