The winner of the Czech parliamentary election in October is all but certain to be the populist ANO, which has...
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Research Briefing
France's fragile coalition government looks set to lose a confidence vote scheduled on September 8. Consequently, Prime Minister François Bayrou's...
Research Briefing
Important elections are on the horizon across Latin America, with the most consequential being in Bolivia and Argentina.
Research Briefing
Africa has, once again, taken centre stage as countries vie for the top spot. The playing field has shifted slightly,...
Research Briefing
We estimate that the US's effective tariff rate on Japanese products is around 17%, in line with our baseline assumption....
Research Briefing
The ruling Liberal Democratic party (LDP) and its partner Komeito lost their majority in Japan's upper house elections on July...
Research Briefing
South Africa's Government of National Unity (GNU) has struggled over the one year of its existence, largely because of the...
Research Briefing
We have cut our long-term trade forecasts for the EU considerably due to escalating global trade tensions.
Research Briefing
The EU plans a narrower, targeted response to US tariffs on goods, but stronger measures may follow amid rising trade...
Research Briefing
If the threatened tariffs on imports from the European Union and smartphones were to be implemented, it would reduce US'...
Research Briefing
House Republicans have narrowly passed a reconciliation bill aligned with President Trump's economic goals, including short-term tax cuts and cost...
Research Briefing
The 2025/26 Victorian Budget offers little to change the near-term outlook for construction activity, as high debt levels constrain the...
Research Briefing
Saturday's Federal Election decisively delivered a second term for the Albanese government, clearing up the policy outlook.
Research Briefing
Anthony Albanese has decidedly won a second term as Prime Minister, with the Labor party set to form a majority...
Research Briefing
This Research Briefing is about some of the political issues flowing from the abundance in Africa of minerals critical to...
Research Briefing
US tariffs of 25% on all automobile and auto parts will weigh heavily on the Japanese and South Korean automotive...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.50% at Wednesday's meeting, as expected. Despite a marginally higher...
Research Briefing
A ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia would provide a modest boost to EU economies, mainly due to higher military spending...
Research Briefing
Prime Minister Sir Kier Starmer has pledged to increase the UK's defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by 2027, following...
Research Briefing
The April increase in employers' national insurance contributions will weaken the UK labour market, increasing unemployment. Sectors with the greatest...
