Case Studies
Economic risk assessments
Oxford Economics' Global Macro Model provides a rigorous framework for analysing the impact of alternative scenarios and major threats to economies. For example, it suggests that the minimum cost of a global Avian flu pandemic would be $400 billion of lost GDP
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Influencing government policy
We help companies' corporate affairs and strategy teams make the case for economic policies or for investment proposals. For example, a report, prepared for the UK Film Council and Pinewood Shepperton, assesses the different ways in which the film industry contributes to the UK economy, and the importance of the new Film Tax Relief for the competitiveness of film production in the UK.
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Transportation Policy Analysis
Grand Bahama Island shoulders the most expensive air service in the Caribbean. Our Tourism Economics team examined causes behind these costs and identified opportunities for revamping service agreements and operations to secure efficient and growing air service.
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Investment Feasibility
Developers of a 800-acre mixed resort needed to correctly define their product mix, pricing, and evaluate competition. A market study by our Tourism Economics group has positioned our client to attract partners and capital to move forward quickly.
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Current Highlights
Credit Crunch Watch:
The financial stress indicator has risen over the last week to a level just below its all-time high, thanks especially to a rise in equity volatility and further rises in corporate and mortgage spreads. These movements reflect increased concerns about the global growth outlook and the likely impact of recession-like conditions on corporate profits, default rates, and the health of the financial sector. Monetary conditions meanwhile have tightened a touch over the last week, with the further strengthening of the US dollar the main factor behind this, offsetting the loosening impact of falling treasury yields 5 September 2008
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Will capacity problems keep commodity prices high?
Although global demand for oil and minerals has been strong in recent years, driven by buoyant emerging markets such as China and India, supply constraints have become an increasingly important factor behind the rise in oil prices to record levels of almost US$150 pb. And it is the lack of supply response, in contrast to previous periods of high prices, that has caught the markets by surprise. So while world growth is slowing in response to the credit crunch and surging oil prices, commodity prices appear set to remain high for some time. 21 July 2008
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Sectoral Outlook Briefing Service
We are publishing new on-line briefings providing detailed forecasts for prospects in over 80 industrial sectors across 77 different countries. The new service provides:
- Forecasts for output growth on an annual basis over the next 10 years for over 80 sectors
- Charts and tables highlighting key industrial output trends, past and future
- Access to our Sectoral Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts to download for your own analysis and reports
- Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Industrial Model
Poland China
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Country Briefing Service
We are publishing new on-line country briefings every day covering economic and political developments and prospects in over 175 countries, linked to our forecast databank:
- Tailor-made for busy executives, the briefings tell you everything you need to know for your business planning
- Access to our Macro Forecast Databank, offering historical data and ten-year forecasts for a host of economic and social indicators plus detailed tourism statistics
- Forecasts derived from our highly-disciplined forecasting process using our Global Model (the most widely used commercial model in the world)
Thailand Germany Czech Republic
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Analysis for Better Decisions
Oxford Economics - formerly Oxford Economic Forecasting - is a world-leader in quantitative analysis and rigorous economic forecasting. Our evidence-based approach to economic analysis helps businesses, governments and international organisations make the right investment, policy and market decisions.
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