Is city travel recovery a return to pre-pandemic norms?

Date: Tuesday 3 October 2023

City tourism recovery continues and our latest forecast update suggests that 2023 will be the year when many markets will regain 2019 levels in terms of total arrivals (international and domestic) with many more on the cusp of a recovery. But the balance of travel segments has changed, and recovery in some international and long-haul segments will take longer for many cities. We will discuss the latest trends in this session as well as the reasons why recovery to date may differ from prior expectations. Any problems associated with over tourism will also be discussed as we reach previous pre-pandemic peaks.

Dave Goodger

Managing Director, EMEA, Tourism Economics

+44 (0) 1865 268 928

Dave Goodger

Managing Director, EMEA, Tourism Economics

London, United Kingdom

David Goodger is Managing Director, EMEA, Tourism Economics. He has been instrumental in developing the global model of tourism flows and spending, which covers 185 origins and destinations, and he continues to manage regular forecast updates. He also maintains an active role in new product development and consultancy work.

David Goodger is a Director within Tourism Economics and primarily concentrates on tourism demand forecasting and market sizing. He has also taken an active role in further model development for specific purposes, with an emphasis on examining the economic contributions of particular sectors and the impact of different policies. He has conducted a groundbreaking analysis of the business travel sector for the WTTC and the US Travel Association which estimates the return on investment of corporate spending on travel and he has developed models to define destination marketing allocations.

Since joining Oxford Economics in 2000, David Goodger has been involved in a wide range of forecasting and modelling activities. He has been part of the macroeconomic forecasting and the industrial forecasting teams contributing to both regular reports and specific client studies as well as assisting in the development of detailed forecasting and simulation models.

David was educated at the University of Bristol, England, where he gained a first-class degree in Economics with Statistics; and at the London School of Economics and Political Science, England, where he graduated with an MSc in Econometrics and Mathematical Economics.

Emma Laverty
Emma Laverty

Economist

Emma Laverty

Private: Emma Laverty

Economist

London, United Kingdom

Emma joined Tourism Economics in February 2022 having completed a Masters in Economics from Queen’s University Belfast. She has contributed to the delivery of travel subscription services, with a focus on the development of the Global City Travel service, which provides travel forecasts for around 325 global cities.

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