Global Climate Service: Climate Catastrophe
The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. This quarter our new scenario – Climate Catastrophe – underscores the costs of climate inaction. It models a high-emissions pathway by which global warming, temperature volatility and more frequent extreme heat events cause severe physical damages that accelerate over time.

Felicity Hannon
Associate Director, Climate Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling
+44 (0)1865 95 2394

Felicity Hannon
Associate Director, Climate Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling
Oxford, United Kingdom
Felicity Hannon is an Associate Director of Oxford Economics’ Climate Scenarios and Macroeconomic Modelling team and has been in this role for over four years. Felicity is responsible for the publication of climate scenarios and regular research on the economic impact of climate change for the new Global Climate Service. She oversees a number of consultancy projects at OE including climate regulatory stress testing and bespoke scenario analysis. Felicity also worked with her team to introduce climate change scenario levers on the Global Economic Model. Previously, Felicity worked as a senior policy advisor at HM Treasury.

David Winter
Senior Economist, Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling
+44 (0) 1865 952396

David Winter
Senior Economist, Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling
London, United Kingdom
David has worked on consulting projects, regulatory stress tests, bespoke scenario analysis and econometric modelling projects. He specialises in climate change and energy macroeconomics and coordinates the Global Climate Service.
He has previously worked in research at a hedge fund (HFIM), and at UBS’s investment banking division. David holds a MPhil in Economics (Distinction) from the University of Cambridge and a BA (Hons) in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from the University of Oxford.
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