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Eurozone dodges winter bullet but outlook will remain challenging

European sentiment is improving quickly, as a warm winter and a remarkable effort in reducing gas consumption has erased the prospects of energy rationing during the winter. The improved prospects for the industrial sector means the euro area economy may avoid a recession, but beyond the outlook for energy, prospects will continue to be dominated by two other factors: the evolution of inflation and the impact of the interest rate hike cycle carried out by the ECB.

Angel Talavera
Angel Talavera

Head of Europe, Macro

+44 (0) 203 910 8014

Angel Talavera

Angel Talavera

Head of Europe, Macro

London, United Kingdom

Ángel Talavera is Head of European Economics and is responsible for developing Oxford Economics’ macro view on the region, as well as producing macroeconomic forecasts for Spain. He manages a team of 12 economists producing regional and country-specific thematic research on over 30 countries, as well as contributing to the editorial line of Oxford Economics globally. Angel’s work also involves presenting the outlook to clients around the world and he is frequently quoted in international media.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Ángel spent over five years in two different stints as an economist at FocusEconomics, a Barcelona-based macroeconomic consulting firm. In between, he worked at Beazley Group, an insurance firm based in London, where he focused on country risk.

Tomas Dvorak

Senior Economist

+44 (0) 203 910 8150

Tomas Dvorak

Senior Economist

London, United Kingdom

Tomas is a Senior Economist in the Macro and Investor Services’ eurozone team. He oversees the coverage of Central and Eastern Europe in addition to producing thematic research on the eurozone and developing modern, data-driven approaches to economic forecasting, including the use of alternative and high-frequency data.

Tomas holds an MA in economics from the University of Glasgow and an MSc in economics from the University College London. He previously worked as a data scientist at KPMG and as an advisor in the European Parliament.

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