Research Briefing | Nov 30, 2021

Eurozone 2022 themes: Now for the hard part

Ipad Frame - Eurozone-2022-themes-Now-for-the-hard-part

The eurozone pushed on with a strong recovery in 2021, but in many ways that’s been the easy part. With reopening tailwinds mostly exhausted, the bloc will face different challenges in 2022.

What you will learn:

  • We still expect another year of robust growth – close to 4% – but the recovery is likely to be choppy due to resurgent Covid risks, supply chains problems, and surging energy prices.
  • Our expectation of strong growth continues to rest on consumer spending as we transition from public- to private-led demand growth.
  • Supply chain issues are still a constraint for now, but we expect bottlenecks to recede next year.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Why the consumer recovery is delayed, not derailed

Latest data point to a delayed start to a consumer revival in the eurozone, but we see relatively low risk of it being derailed. Even with a slow start, it's unlikely to throw the rebound off course – plus there's a chance of make-up growth in H2. We expect private consumption to grow 1.2% in 2024 overall.

Find Out More
Manufacturing

Post

Industrial production bottomed out in major developed economies

Our new proprietary cycle phase analysis suggests that industrial production in many developed economies has bottomed out and is now poised to enter a period of growth.

Find Out More