Latin America 2022 outlook: all roads lead to stagflation
Topic: With the easy gains from the reopening now behind us and both fiscal and monetary policies moving into contractionary territory, we see Latin American economies slowing sharply this year. Meanwhile, price indexation mechanisms, still high commodity prices, weak currencies and high inflation inertia all point to inflation remaining above central banks’ targets throughout 2022 as well. Please join Marcos Casarin and Debora Reyna as they discuss which countries should suffer the most from stagflation this year and why.
Marcos Casarin
Chief Latin American Economist
Marcos Casarin
Chief Latin American Economist
Marcos Casarin | Chief Latin American Economist
Marcos is the Chief Economist for Latin America at Oxford Economics, based in Mexico City. Following a six-year stint in London, he relocated to Mexico City in 2018 to run the firm’s Latin America operation locally. Marcos is responsible for developing Oxford’s in-house view on the region, as well as producing the macroeconomic forecasts for Brazil. He manages a team of economists who produce regional and country-specific research pieces on over 30 countries, as well as contributes to the editorial line of Oxford Economics globally. Marcos’ work also involves presenting the outlook to clients around the world and liaising with the media.
Debora Reyna
Economist
Debora Reyna
Economist
Debora Reyna | Economist
Debora joined Oxford Economics in April 2021 and is based in our Mexico City office. She is responsible for Argentina, Peru, Ecuador and Costa Rica’s macroeconomic coverage, and is also involved in Latin America’s regional thematic research. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Debora spent two years in BCP, the largest bank in Peru, providing macroeconomic forecasts and financial advisory. Formerly, she worked as an analyst covering international economics at the Treasury Department of Peru, monitoring and analyzing global economic conditions.
Tags:
Related Services
Event
UK monetary policy outlook: short- and long-term
We will reflect on the messages from May’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting, analysing whether a summer rate cut remains on the table. We will then move on to look at how restrictive the Bank of England’s monetary policy stance is and how far rates might fall in this rate cutting cycle, introducing our estimates of the long-run UK neutral interest rate.
Find Out More
Event
Outlook gospodarczy dla Polski w świetle prognoz dla gospoarki światowej i europejskiej
A divergence has opened in the world economy, with the US faring much better than China and the eurozone on the growth front. During the webinar, we will shed light on our thinking about world and European outlooks and their influence on the CEE region in general and the Polish economy in particular. We will scrutinize both growth and inflation prospects, views on monetary and fiscal policies as well as implications for FX and bond yields performance.
Find Out More