Ripe for a correction

Date: Tuesday 12 September 2023

In our first webinar after the summer recess, our Director of Global Macro Strategy Javier Corominas and Director of Equity Strategy Daniel Grosvenor outline why they think the recent equity market correction will continue and why it is now time to add duration to portfolios.

The latest update of our Cross Asset framework indicators supports defensive allocations. Investor sentiment has become overly optimistic and risk assets look vulnerable to tighter financial conditions and a deteriorating global credit impulse which we think will contribute to a sustained period of weak global economic growth. We think DM bonds are increasingly attractive in this environment following the recent rise in long-end yields.

Daniel Grosvenor

Director of Equity Strategy, Macro Forecasting & Analysis

+44 (0) 203 910 8106

Private: Daniel Grosvenor

Director of Equity Strategy, Macro Forecasting & Analysis

London, United Kingdom

Daniel is an equity strategist, responsible for developing our equity views across countries, sectors and investment styles. He joined Oxford Economics from HSBC, where he spent a decade working within their global equity strategy team, in both London and Hong Kong.

Javier Corominas

Director of Global Macro Strategy

+44 (0) 203 910 8115

Javier Corominas

Director of Global Macro Strategy

London, United Kingdom

Javier Corominas is Director of Global Macro Strategy at Oxford Economics. He is co-responsible for global strategic asset allocation as well the tactical calls across all asset classes. Additionally, he has a significant focus on providing thematic macro strategy research to generate actionable investment advice for asset allocators, portfolio managers and corporate Treasurers.

Javier is a senior macro and multi-asset investment strategist with over 16 years’ experience in active portfolio management as well as in independent macro research.

He has a background in macro-economic modelling and forecasting, portfolio optimization and risk budgeting, asset allocation (SAA and TAA), relative value models and global thematic investment research. This is coupled with a demonstrable track record in drawing conclusions for key asset markets, and developing profitable trade and investment strategies in FX, rates and the liquid asset classes.

Prior to re-joining Oxford Economics, he was a Director and Head of Research at Record Currency Management, one of the largest institutional currency managers in the world, with pension funds, insurance companies, family offices and private equity houses as clients globally.

Javier is regular commentator on currency, fixed income and broader global macro themes in the financial media/press and a regular speaker and presenter at global investment conferences and fora.

Javier holds both a First-Class Degree and an M. Phil in Economics from Cambridge University. He has a keen interest in world history and all manner of racquet sports, and is also fluent in Spanish and French.

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