Research Briefing | Jun 29, 2021

UK | MPC predicts larger but still brief inflation burst

MPC predicts larger but still brief inflation burst

The MPC now thinks CPI inflation could exceed 3% this year, with the risk of an even bigger overshoot of the BoE’s 2% target. However, the majority on the committee maintained the view that higher inflation will be transitory.

What you will learn:

  • In his final meeting, Andrew Haldane voted again to scale QE back by £50bn.
  • Other opinions on how to judge whether inflationary pressures were temporary or persistent differed. But while the MPC will likely cut the pace of QE further in August, the chances of a more abrupt move in policy are low.
  • The outcome of June’s MPC meeting repeated that of the previous month. 
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Relative return index signals improving CRE attractiveness

Our latest global relative return index (RRI) signals that risk-adjusted investment opportunities in commercial real estate (CRE) should start to emerge this year before becoming more widespread in 2025. At this point, our baseline expected returns move higher than required returns, pushing the global all-property index above the 50 mark.

Find Out More

Post

South Africa: Elections 2024 | ‘ANC & friends’ election scenario

This Research Briefing sets out the first of four scenarios for South Africa's general election on May 29. In this scenario, the ANC wins over 46% of the vote share at the national level, and forms a government by working with small, constituency-based parties.

Find Out More