Vietnam | Role as a global manufacturing hub will fuel growth
Vietnam’s transformation into a global manufacturing hub over the past decade helped it outperform most economies in 2020 and further strengthened its share of global electronics and manufacturing exports. We forecast these trends will continue over 2021 and beyond.
What you will learn from this report:
- Why Vietnam will account for around 4% of global electronics exports in 2025.
- 10% tariff on textiles, telecommunications, computers, and furniture exports to the US (US$40.3bn) would cut GDP growth to an average of 6.4% over 2021-2022 versus our baseline of 7.2%. GDP levels would be US$98bn lower by the end of 2025.
- US doesn’t have the appetite to further disrupt its own companies’ supply chains. We believe Vietnam’s strategic importance in countering China’s influence in the region will prevent any widespread action
Tags:
Related Services
Post
UK: Sterling’s woes, Kwarteng’s vows, Bailey in the middle
The negative market reaction to last week's fiscal announcements appears to be a function of doubts over the credibility of the UK government's long-term fiscal plans. Though we think the structural position is not as bad as last Friday's drop in asset prices implies, it's clear the government will struggle to retain credibility if it fails to engage with market concerns.
Find Out More
Post
BoJ to look through a temporary decline in monetary base
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left monetary policy unchanged at today's (22nd Sep) meeting, maintaining current short- and long-term interest rates, despite another wave of yen weakening and upward pressures on JGB yields.
Find Out More