Research Briefing | Jul 6, 2021

UK | Freedom day to bolster recovery, but Covid rates a worry

UK | Freedom day to bolster recovery, but Covid rates a worry

The government’s announcement that most of the remaining Covid restrictions are likely to be removed on July 19 has bolstered our confidence in the strength of the UK’s recovery. We expect UK GDP to grow nearly 8% this year.

The link between Covid cases and hospitalisations appears to have weakened significantly. But with case numbers rising sharply and new variants still a potential threat, the UK cannot be complacent.

What you will learn:

  • Our above-consensus GDP growth forecast
  • Covid cases have risen sharply over the past month, but hospitalisations have remained low
  • The emergence of the more transmissible Delta variant has caused Covid cases to rise sharply over the past month
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

A lady holding a terrestrial globe

Post

APAC Key Themes 2026: Paybacks, policy offsets and trade

We believe APAC will remain the strongest global performer in 2026. However, the growth trajectory will likely be more uneven than in past cycles.

Find Out More

Post

Japan’s fiscal policy will remain loose, which increases risks to debt sustainabilit

We've changed our fiscal outlook for Japan in our December forecast round. We now expect the new government to set a primary deficit close to that of 2024, at 2%-3% of GDP for 2025-2027, instead of restoring a balanced budget by taking advantage of strong tax revenue. We assume higher bond yields will force the government to take measures to reduce the deficit from 2028.

Find Out More
[autopilot_shortcode]