Research Briefing | Aug 4, 2021

UK | A strong recovery across all regions, but worries remain

A strong recovery across all UK regions, but worries remain

The region with the strongest forecast GVA rise in 2021 is the East Midlands, with an 8.2% increase, closely followed by the West Midlands, North East and Northern Ireland. The South East and South West share the bottom spot with 6.9% growth, with London doing little better at 7.1%.

What you will learn from this report:

  • London sees the largest increase in GVA over the period 2020-25
  • The West Midlands has the smallest increase, having suffered very badly in 2020
  • Differences in sector concentrations explain most of the variations in regional GVA declines in 2020 and are important going forward
  • London’s key sectors performed better than nationally in 2020, helping the capital. Professional services were an exception
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Nowcast shows wage growth slowing sharply

Our sentiment data, developed with Penta, suggests that UK private sector wage growth slowed sharply in March and early-April. If official data mirrors our sentiment indicator, it should keep the Monetary Policy Committee on track to cut interest rates in the summer.

Find Out More

Post

The euro and depreciation – shake, shake it off

Our new forecast assumes a slower euro appreciation against the dollar over the coming years than we previously anticipated. Relative productivity, terms of trade, and the current account will likely be less supportive of the euro than we thought. In addition, a stronger stock market than initially envisaged will attract more financial flows into the US than we had expected.

Find Out More