Research Briefing

London Monitor | Growth held back by national factors and low visitor numbers

The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown (2)-3

The easy gains from re opening the London economy have now mostly been realised, and the visitor economy is still weak. Meanwhile, mounting pressures are dampening the UK’s recovery, affecting London. But employment in the capital is rising, even if the full year total will be lower than in 2020, and businesses remain confident. The Purchasing Managers’ Index suggests that London’s output growth remained stable in September, contrasting with the previous two months when growth appeared to slow from record highs.

What you will learn:

  • Indeed, equity trades in September rose by 28% from August, and reached a record high for the month.
  • House prices continued to be distorted by the stamp duty holiday, rising by a record 5.6% m/m in August ahead of the end of the tax relief in September.
  • Planning approvals in Q2 2021 fell from the post lockdown peak at the end of 2020, back to the levels seen pre pandemic.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Food prices to bottom out in 2024, risks skewed to upside

Our baseline forecast is for world food commodity prices to register an annual decline this year, in aggregate, reducing pressure on food retail prices further downstream. However, we believe the risks to this forecast are overwhelmingly skewed to the upside.

Find Out More

Post

Battery raw material prices to recover

Battery raw materials prices bottomed out last quarter and we think a sustained recovery is looming. Midstream EV battery manufacturing activity has picked up again and inventories have returned to historical levels, suggesting upstream demand for raw materials will also bounce back.

Find Out More