Research Briefing | Nov 9, 2021

Eurozone | Recovery Tracker slows to a crawl heading into winter

Recovery Tracker slows to a crawl heading into winter

Our eurozone Recovery Tracker recorded a small increase over the two weeks ended October 24, rising 0.3pts to 88.0, just shy of its post-pandemic high. The gain was driven by improvement in financial conditions and production; but, worryingly, the health situation is deteriorating again.

What you will learn:

  • The glass-half-full view says that the recovery is on a solid footing and activity has reached close to pre-pandemic levels.
  • The glass-half-empty view would counter that the recovery momentum has clearly faded in Q4 and the current stage of the recovery will be much slower and difficult as the easy gains have been exhausted.
  • Our assessment is a synthesis of the two views.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Food prices to bottom out in 2024, risks skewed to upside

Our baseline forecast is for world food commodity prices to register an annual decline this year, in aggregate, reducing pressure on food retail prices further downstream. However, we believe the risks to this forecast are overwhelmingly skewed to the upside.

Find Out More

Post

Battery raw material prices to recover

Battery raw materials prices bottomed out last quarter and we think a sustained recovery is looming. Midstream EV battery manufacturing activity has picked up again and inventories have returned to historical levels, suggesting upstream demand for raw materials will also bounce back.

Find Out More