Australia | Budget windfalls parlayed into more stimulus

Australia’s remarkably strong economic performance since the onset of the pandemic has led to a marked revision to the budget deficit this year; the Treasury now expect a deficit of 7.8% of GDP in FY21, against a forecast of 11% from six months earlier.
What you will learn in this comprehensive 4 page report:
- The fast-tracked labour market recovery has resulted in less spending on support services than was anticipated and has boosted income tax and GST revenues. Record high commodity prices have also been a boon for the government’s coffers.
- But rather than bank these gains and embark on the task of budget repair, the government has opted to provide additional stimulus to the economy. This will provide further impetus to the recovery in the near term.
- There were relatively few surprises in the Budget, and our most recent forecast revisions largely pre-empted policy changes. Public demand was revised higher (although a further upgrade is still to come), and we expect the participation rate (for women in particular) will receive a long-term boost.
Tags:
Related Services
Post
APAC Key Themes 2026: Paybacks, policy offsets and trade
We believe APAC will remain the strongest global performer in 2026. However, the growth trajectory will likely be more uneven than in past cycles.
Find Out More
Post
Japan’s fiscal policy will remain loose, which increases risks to debt sustainabilit
We've changed our fiscal outlook for Japan in our December forecast round. We now expect the new government to set a primary deficit close to that of 2024, at 2%-3% of GDP for 2025-2027, instead of restoring a balanced budget by taking advantage of strong tax revenue. We assume higher bond yields will force the government to take measures to reduce the deficit from 2028.
Find Out More