Research Briefing | Apr 20, 2021

US | Biden’s American Jobs Plan will provide a structural lift

Biden’s American Jobs Plan will provide a structural lift - iPad

After spending over $5tn in cumulative cyclical fiscal relief, Congress is now contemplating President Joe Biden’s structural stimulus package worth $2.7tn in infrastructure, manufacturing, and health care outlays, as well as tax credits for housing and green energy investments.

What you will learn:

  • The structural nature of this plan would generate a more gradual fiscal impulse than prior coronavirus relief packages and would lift long-term potential output by 0.1%.
  • In the short term, the impetus from stronger government outlays will be tempered by higher taxes on corporations.
  • We estimate the AJP would create 1 million additional jobs in 2022 and 2 million by the end of 2024.

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Japan’s fiscal policy will remain loose, which increases risks to debt sustainabilit

We've changed our fiscal outlook for Japan in our December forecast round. We now expect the new government to set a primary deficit close to that of 2024, at 2%-3% of GDP for 2025-2027, instead of restoring a balanced budget by taking advantage of strong tax revenue. We assume higher bond yields will force the government to take measures to reduce the deficit from 2028.

Find Out More
US flag

Post

US Key Themes 2026: Exceptionalism amid fragmentation

US exceptionalism is alive and well, and that won't change in 2026.

Find Out More
[autopilot_shortcode]