Research Briefing
| Jul 17, 2024
Better things to come for global developed market REITs
We believe that developed market real estate investment trusts (DM REITs) are poised for a sustained period of positive performance. This is despite interest rates that are set to remain well above pre-pandemic norms.
What you will learn:
- We forecast a 5.9% annual return for DM REITs over 2024-2028 in US dollar terms, on a GDP-weighted basis for the eurozone, UK, and US.
- We stick with our near-term view that a soft economic landing and limited supply will sustain REIT income growth, and that underlying asset values will find a floor as monetary policy gradually eases, which should allow REIT prices to grow over the next six months.
- Although there is uncertainty stemming from the November presidential election, US REITs still look set to outperform over the medium term. The US has a broader and more favourable mix of property sectors in the index and better economic growth prospects.

Tags:
Related Reports
Click here to subscribe to our real estate economics newsletter and get reports delivered directly to your mailbox

Inflation and bond yield shocks in Europe affect RE returns the most
Our modelling shows European real estate is most exposed to inflation and bond-yield shocks, with impacts varying widely across cities and sectors.
Read more: Inflation and bond yield shocks in Europe affect RE returns the most

2026 US real estate supply outlook
Explore how shifting supply trends are shaping industrial, office, retail and residential real estate in 42 US metros. Download our infographic today.
Read more: 2026 US real estate supply outlook

How the macroeconomy affects real estate returns in US metros
In most US metros, a 1% GDP fall lowers capital returns on property by 1.4%-2%.
Read more: How the macroeconomy affects real estate returns in US metros

Real Estate Trends and Insights
Read more analysis on real estate performance and location decision-making.
Read more: Real Estate Trends and Insights[autopilot_shortcode]