Research Briefing | Sep 27, 2021

UK | MPC continues to shift in a hawkish direction

UK | MPC continues to shift in a hawkish direction

The minutes of September’s MPC meeting were more hawkish, leading markets to price in a rate hike early next year. But we think markets are getting ahead of themselves. Most MPC members still believe high inflation will prove transitory, while growth in demand is clearly continuing to soften.

What you will learn from this report:

  • The decline in the number of furloughed workers through the summer has been unexpectedly slow
  • Consumer confidence fell sharply in September
  • High frequency indicators
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Relative return index signals improving CRE attractiveness

Our latest global relative return index (RRI) signals that risk-adjusted investment opportunities in commercial real estate (CRE) should start to emerge this year before becoming more widespread in 2025. At this point, our baseline expected returns move higher than required returns, pushing the global all-property index above the 50 mark.

Find Out More

Post

South Africa: Elections 2024 | ‘ANC & friends’ election scenario

This Research Briefing sets out the first of four scenarios for South Africa's general election on May 29. In this scenario, the ANC wins over 46% of the vote share at the national level, and forms a government by working with small, constituency-based parties.

Find Out More