Research Briefing | Oct 11, 2023

Shifting yield curves create a currency hedging opportunity

The divergence in yield curves across markets has been notable, with most experiencing significant upward shifts in the last two years. Japan, however, stands apart from this trend, presenting a unique opportunity for commercial real estate investors to focus on Japanese assets for both leveraging and currency hedging.

What you will learn:

  • The gap in yields between the dollar and the yen has reached levels not seen in decades, which has created highly favourable currency hedging conditions. The more modest movement in Japan’s rates also boosts the market’s attraction as it has maintained its status as having highly accretive debt terms for CRE investors.
  • While the use of gearing and currency hedging presents its own set of risks, five-year forecast returns across for the CRE sector are likely to fall short of required returns (or hurdle rates) in several major markets. Japan is the major exception to this rule.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Posts

Post

Inflation and bond yield shocks in Europe affect RE returns the most

Our modelling shows European real estate is most exposed to inflation and bond-yield shocks, with impacts varying widely across cities and sectors.

Find Out More

Post

2026 US real estate supply outlook

Explore how shifting supply trends are shaping industrial, office, retail and residential real estate in 42 US metros. Download our infographic today.

Find Out More

Post

How the macroeconomy affects real estate returns in US metros

In most US metros, a 1% GDP fall lowers capital returns on property by 1.4%-2%.

Find Out More
[autopilot_shortcode]