Research Briefing | Apr 19, 2021

UK | The economy takes a small step to recovery

Why big fiscal deficits and low inflation can coexi (34)

Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in output should herald the start of an increasingly rapid rebound in activity.
Notably, the reopening of non-essential retail and outdoor hospitality on April 12 is set to deliver a much stronger rise in GDP this month. Meanwhile, we learnt that the MPC will soon lose Andrew Haldane, its most bullish member.

What you will learn from this report:

  • February saw activity begin to make up the loss caused by lockdown.
  • The effect of April 12’s partial reopening was evident in some high-frequency data.
  • Online job vacancies have returned to pre-pandemic levels.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

US flag

Post

US Key Themes 2026: Exceptionalism amid fragmentation

US exceptionalism is alive and well, and that won't change in 2026.

Find Out More

Post

Global Key themes 2026: Bullish on US despite AI bubble fears

We anticipate another year of broadly steady and unexceptional global GDP growth, but with some more interesting stories running below the surface.

Find Out More
[autopilot_shortcode]