2024年美国的关键主题
日期: 2023 年 12 月 4 日星期一日期: 2023 年 12 月 4 日星期一
我们今年的最后一场美国网络研讨会将探讨 2024 年的发展前景。 我们预计,未来几个季度美国经济将出现实质性放缓,下半年国内生产总值(GDP)增长将略有加快。 通胀将继续下降,但在劳动力市场条件逐渐宽松的推动下,下降速度将比 2023 年缓慢得多,这将促使美联储在年底开始放松政策。 除了这些标题之外,还有三个主题将成为影响 2024 年经济的关键:财政政策是经济前景的主要驱动力;信贷和政治不确定性;以及经济仍将高度不同步。
Innes McFee
Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services
+44 (0) 203 910 8028
Innes McFee
Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services
London, United Kingdom
Innes McFee is the Managing Director of Macro and Investor Services, based in London. Innes oversees the activities of the Macro & Investor Services teams globally, including the Global Macro Forecast and Global Macro Service.
Innes joined Oxford Economics in 2017 after 6 years at Lloyds Banking Group as a Senior Economist. At Lloyds Innes was responsible for the economic scenarios underpinning the Group’s internal planning and stress testing; analysis of key risks; and developing Lloyds’ approach to multiple economic scenarios for IFRS9. In addition, Innes’ role included developing the Group’s capability in modelling macroeconomic fundamentals and UK banking markets and advising the Group Corporate Treasury on financial market developments.
Prior to joining Lloyds Innes was an Economic Advisor at HM Treasury where his roles included management of the UK’s foreign currency reserves; US economist; and G20 macroeconomic policy advisor. Innes has a first class undergraduate degree in Economics from the University of Durham and a MSc in Economics from Warwick University.
Michael Pearce
Deputy Chief US Economist
+1 (347) 756 6500
Michael Pearce
Deputy Chief US Economist
New York, United States
Michael Pearce is the Deputy Chief US Economist based in New York City, sharing responsibility for forecasting the US economy and monetary policy. He has a particular focus on the US consumer and inflation. Before joining Oxford Economics, Michael worked for the Treasury in the UK, and was a senior member of the US economics team at Capital Economics for more than a decade, and he lived and worked in the UK, US, and Switzerland during that time. He has a masters degree in economic history from the London School of Economics, and a bachelors degree in economics from University College London.
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